Slitherine

Loss analysis


Previous (t=71) data for comparison viewtopic.php?f=145&t=89711&start=320#p782045

Changes in loss statistics from the start of the Allied D-Day operation.
Loss ratio increased in infantry and in bombers.
In the other classes, they have not changed or have not changed significantly.

In comparison with the paired game viewtopic.php?f=145&t=89760&start=340#p782838
Axis losses in tanks and fighters almost equaled.
And the losses in bombers and infantry in my Axis game are much less. For now


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PeteMitchell_2 wrote: ↑Sat May 11, 2019 2:59 pm Amazing how differently these two playthroughs seem to end...

I will say that the games really went in different ways. It was possible to test different ways of the game, except for landing in England.
Although this AAR is quite long, I tried to have an intrigue and I think that both games gave this opportunity

Turn 81
October 6, 1944
Weather: Clear and Dry


The last stage of the war began...

Strategic map
Strategic map - Air
France
Two attacks in the north and south today destroyed 2 Sherman.
Perhaps it will reduce the pace of the Allies offensive.
Although they have a lot of armored units left.

The enemy landed 2 elite paratroopers in the Netherlands.
Which were destroyed by combined tank attacks were also used V1.
In order not to rust in warehouses. Because we cannot use them because of the actions of the Allied aviation.
Also was bought Panther. We have not had such a unit yet.

Italy
The Allies completely controls the south of France.
In Italy, the enemy went on the offensive.
But we counterattacked and destroyed the Sherman and infantry.
Balkans
Achtung! Achtung!
Air recon discovered that the Allies had landed in the Balkans.
Cherchel would be pleased
So they have 2 tanks, mobile artillery, British engineers and infantry, and 3-4 partisans units. Total 9+ units.
What is their goal? A strike to Germany to cut off Italy or Romanian oil?
Caucasus
Ambush! The Russians set up an ambush.
It looks like we do not have time to keep Grozny.
Losing oil revenue and even more unpleasant, will the Soviets start getting their reinforcements again?
And then they will not stop.
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Turn 82. Berlin
October 21, 1944
Weather: Clear and Dry

Strategic map
Strategic map - Air
Very interesting things happen in the air.
In France, the Allies lined up in a double line.
In Germany, striking the bases of the fleet.
In Italy, 12 Allied air units were found.
Ok, they completely recovered their losses.
They moved units from somewhere else or they initially had more than we expected.
Found 4 fighter in the south of Italy. Perhaps they are preparing them for the transfer to the Balkans ...
France
Enemy destroyed a two of our Stugs who participated in the last counterattack.
Obviously the loss of two tanks did not stop the Allies.

Germany
We are trying to ensure the protection of the coast with the help of the Navy.
But the enemy strikes hard at the fleet.
It seems that even 88mm anti-aircraft guns do not protect against these attacks!
We have another "super-weapon" Comet.
But it can only shoot down 1 point for a bomber

Create a second line of defense along the river Meuse.
The third line will be on the Rhine.
Italy
Continued the offensive.
It is tempting if we destroy the enemy troops, then our troops will be freed for protection of Germany.
Otherwise they will have to be kept on the Green line.
Or if we shorten the front and retreat to the mountains(Alpine line), the enemy fleet will quickly crush them and defense will also fail.
Italy - Air
Near Rome was discovered the latest enemy fighter Tempest!
He was upgraded from another fighter.
Prediction of an attack against our fighter 6 to 1 in favor of Tempest!!
We almost destroy Tempest, but we can't shoot it down.
Also a large number of aircraft are available here at the Allies.
Our plane in the south of Italy collided with the whole line fighters. Obviously, this is the turn to upgrade to Tempests!
So soon our air dominance in Italy will end.
This circumstance only pushes to continue the offensive in Italy and greatly reduce the number of enemy ground units.
So they no longer pose a threat.
But if the enemy starts an attack on Italy from the west and it will be successful.
Our troops will be cut off.

Balkans
The enemy began the movement.
He has 4 mobile units, the others is foot.
Caucasus
Probably British recon unit has already reached Makhachkala.
This means that landing on the airfield is already too risky.
Soon there will be enemy aircraft.
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Turn 83
November 5, 1944
Weather: Clear and Dry

Strategic map
France
The fleet of the Allies with the landing force moves along the English Channel.
Probably their goal is Denmark or Norway or both.
Our defense is located on the river Meuse. 2nd line on the river Rhine.
Allied aviation control the sky.
Caucasus
Appeared vanguard of the British.
For the last couple of turn, I have been thinking about the departure from Russia.
Since now the Allies control 4 VP in Russia, it seems that soon Soviet reinforcements will begin to appear again.
Which we can not hold.
We also have no forces for the return of the Caucasus.
It's time to send troops home...

Italy
We continue the offensive. Destroyed the enemy ranger.
The Yankees have 4 tanks and 2 artillery in Italy, the other are infantry + unlimited support from the sea.
Italy - Air
Axis aviation in the East, Allies in the West.
Balkans
The Allies are heading straight for the Romanian oil.
Air strikes hit them.
In principle, we can block their actions, but this will require additional units.
Which is more necessary in Germany.
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This just seems impossible for Germany...no way for the Axis to win??

goose_2 wrote: ↑Tue May 14, 2019 5:00 pm This just seems impossible for Germany...no way for the Axis to win??

In these games we played with only half the normal prestige being allocated to both sides after 1941-42. I wrote about this technical problem in the first page of this topic. It is an issue of the base game and not a result of this mod. For the time being it can be avoided if the mod is played with "show opponent moves off" form the beginning.

Since the Allied sides continuously gets new units, playing with half the prestige mostly affects the Axis side as it is harder to replace Axis losses or to make the necessary upgrades. Therefore it requires at least one more test play to determine what could happen if the Axis gets the normal prestige allocation for the whole war. And since the start of this test play I have made a lot of other changes to improve the balance, and I still make changes to this day as currently we are at about turn 91-92, and not yet fully finished.

Turn 84
November 20, 1944
Weather: Clear and Dry

Strategic map
In fact, the Allies have a lot of units in France, but this is a countable number.
And if it were not aviation support ...
If we had some strong armored units, we would probably be able to arrange something like this in the winter Ardennes offensive.

But we have no armor and prestige.
All prestige is spent on upgrading old infantry to infantry 44 with panzerfaust.
Germany
In the north, the enemy broke through to Amsterdam.
The defense on the Messer River is practically broken. Panther destroyed.
Only pockets of defense remained.
Probably the next turn the opponent will be able to come to the Rhine.
It is interesting that the Allies use trains to bring their slow infantry to the front.

Somehow, enemy aviation was able to destroy 88mm anti-aircraft unit! It is phenomenal!
Along with the ships of course ...
Germany - Air
Opponent use tactics - 'Carpet'.
When all Axis units are covered by aviation.
What prevents to fully replenish the units.

Italy
We destroyed another infantry and artillery.
And they returned Rome.
Opponent rolled back to the Gustav line.
Some general in the headquarters believe that we have gone too far and the troops should be used in Germany.
And the fact that there is a threat that the enemy will try to cut off our troops in Italy.
Nevertheless, we have gained prestige.
Italy - Air
In the air, the situation is not strategically in our favor.
We could not bring down the Spitfire.
And we know that the Allies upgrade their outdated machines to Tempests. Which greatly surpass us.
But the next turn is snow.

Balkans
If the Allies starts crossing. We will be ready.
Caucasus
The tank began to withdraw to be sent to Germany.
Infantry covers up.
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Turn 85
December 5, 1944
Weather: Snow and Dry

Strategic map
The total number of ground units remaining is about 70.
40 in Germany.
17 in Italy.
The other in Russia (6), in the Balkans (6) and in Norway (2).

The calculation shows that the Axis can hold up to 92 turn. Plan to finish the game for this turn! There is no chance for a DRAW!
But it is rather optimistic. Most likely to 90 turn...
Denmark
The enemy fleet aggressively attacked Bremerhaven.
Our fleet is on the attack.
The enemy cruiser was already sunk here last turn.
The transport ships is not yet visible, apparently they will need another two turn.
Germany
We strengthen the defense on the Wesser River.
But from the next turn the rivers will freeze and we need to build protected defense node.
Before Berlin is two nodes. If we lose them, then we will have less than 10 cities with a cross.

In the south, the French legion began to retreat beyond the Rhine. If he have time.
Partisans interfere with the transport of troops.

Italy
Aviation begins flight to Germany. For the final defense of Berlin.
And our troops were able to destroy the infantry and Sherman.
But the Allies retreated to the Gustav Line and will be fixed on it.
They also bring three of their infantry units from Sicily.
It makes no sense to continue the attack.
We need to think about the withdrawal. And exit from Italy.
The obvious option is a departure to the narrow isthmus (Alpine line). But there is also an enemy fleet there.
Balkans
The enemy is not yet visible.
Probably he recovers units.
And next the turn under the cover of snowfall will continue.
But under pressure from the headquarters, our armored Stug was sent to Germany.
Time is against us. He is already needed in Germany.
Caucasus
Received new data.
If the Allies takes Stalingrad + Rostov or Astrakhan, then the Soviets will be reborn again.
Therefore, most likely we will leave 1 units in Rostov and Stalingrad.
And let's see what happens.
And the remaining units are being evacuated.
Otherwise they will not have time to take part in the defense of Berlin.
The Soviets will need 3 more turn to get to the train station + 3 to get to Berlin by train.
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Turn 86
Decamber 20, 1944
Weather: Sbow and Frozen

Strategic map
Denmark
The remains of the fleet mainly protect the coast of Denmark.
And the straits to the Baltic Sea.
Joint actions were able to sink the enemy transport with infantry.
Germany
Our Elephant helped to destroy Sherman.
We begin to organize the defense on the Wesser River.

Italy
In Italy, the evacuation plan was activated.
The troops began to withdraw to the rail station hex.
Balkans
Snowfall continues.
Opponent does not manifest itself.
Apparently it will start when there is flight weather for its aircraft.
Caucasus
All troops left the Caucasus.
Only the pontoon engineers in Stalingrad and the AT unit in Rostov remained.
After the first contact with the enemy, they received an order to retreat.
But the enemy is not yet visible.
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Loss analysis


Previous (t=80) data for comparison viewtopic.php?f=145&t=89711&start=360#p782847

The war is not over yet and the Axis will have even greater losses.
But now, basically, the ratio of losses is 2 to 1 in favor of the Axis, with the exception of tanks 1.5 to 1.
And in the Navy, the Axis loses even 30% more ships than the Allies.


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It seems to me that Intenso has done much better than the father of the mod McGubba in both playthroughs...